Saturday, 23 April 2011

Dow - simple trendlines,20 dema

sometimes its good to get back to basics - a moving average,simple trendlines,higher lows (or lower highs) and breaks of old tops (or bottoms) !  We still have higher lows,a rising trendline,a rising 20 dema and a break of the double top so everything points up.However the convergence of 4 trendlines to a single point is warning of the trend maturing so we need to watch the most recent trendline and be on guard should the break above the 2 tops fail



here is how KISS analysis could have dealt with the decline from 2007 



2 comments:

  1. Top chart is real neat. Interesting trend line convergence at end of June. From Tony Caldaro's site: we’re expecting this uptrend to end in June between SPX 1440 and 1462." From PUG's site: "Ultimately the major [5]-P3 target is the IHS target of 1429 by mid-June." Looks like the end of June could be real interesting.

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  2. Hi Jordan yes - end June
    could also be a 1 year Gann low to high cycle although I am not convinced the market will keep rallying till then

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