This is intended to be a forum for me to post chart ideas and hopefully receive feedback and stimulate discussion.It is not intended to constitute investment advice.
Saturday, 12 November 2011
XLF
could rally further to the 200 dma but the trend is down
From March to July of 09 the 200 day was sloping down too. Not sure of the point that is trying to be made. If one waits for it to turn up they will have missed many market turns. As an aside, I am bearish long term. I just don't see how the slope of the 200 day is meaningful unless combined with other analysis. Maybe a few other bearish indicators to confirm the slope of the 200 day would make for a bit more powerful post. JMO.
well we also have a double top and broke the intervening swing low so all in all not an inspiring picture.I posted some more immediately bearish charts eg BARC,RBS.I looked at XLF because I saw John Person was bullish and wanted to see if I was missing something
normally if the 200 dma turns down after a bearish pattern break (eg HnS or double top) it is pretty reliable.(similarly if it turns up after a bullish pattern break)
From March to July of 09 the 200 day was sloping down too. Not sure of the point that is trying to be made. If one waits for it to turn up they will have missed many market turns. As an aside, I am bearish long term. I just don't see how the slope of the 200 day is meaningful unless combined with other analysis. Maybe a few other bearish indicators to confirm the slope of the 200 day would make for a bit more powerful post. JMO.
ReplyDeletewell we also have a double top and broke the intervening swing low so all in all not an inspiring picture.I posted some more immediately bearish charts eg BARC,RBS.I looked at XLF because I saw John Person was bullish and wanted to see if I was missing something
ReplyDeletenormally if the 200 dma turns down after a bearish pattern break (eg HnS or double top) it is pretty reliable.(similarly if it turns up after a bullish pattern break)
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