Thursday, 21 February 2013

An EW view from Golden Nugget,posted on Danerics

 There is a possibility this finds support above 1467spx ( a wave 4 low) and it prints a wave 5 higher. Many that I know believe this is the case. But I would give it maybe 25% chance. There is also a chance it pulls back in a "b" wave and makes one more run higher. But, #1, based on the parellel chanel lines containing a near perfect abcde pattern from 1074 "X" wave, #2 Based on my expectation for a flat top near 1550, and based on the fact that every wave 4 of C during the last 3 years had shallow wave 4's, I would have to put at least a 50% chance we just saw the top of an "X" wave or "b" wave. Or, God forbid, a die tri 5th wave. If I had to guess which it was, I would say it is an "X" wave. This means we will get another abc ( or abcde) type pattern back down, much like the correction down from 2000 to 2009. If this leg is a "B" wave, we would get a sharp "C" wave down similar to the leg down from 2007 to 2009. If this leg ends a die tri...start hoarding food, water, and ammo...the wave 2 down has no limits. It could go all the way back to the prices during the depression. The die tri is not a good fit however, but it is a viable pattern label. My "guess" based on the odds is that we just saw the end of an "X" wave, ( with a small chance of one more leg higher at some point). If that is what happened, expect a large correction down from this point.

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