This is intended to be a forum for me to post chart ideas and hopefully receive feedback and stimulate discussion.It is not intended to constitute investment advice.
Tuesday, 14 October 2014
Very ugly price action (particularly after the European close)
You are seeing the markets finally roll over into extended 4Y cycle low. It will be highly right-translated and probably last 3 - 6 months. Think we are at month 67, so the entire low to low ext 4Y cycle will be a record by a mile, 70 or 72 mos. The next longest 4Y cycle was 60 months, twice, and both were followed by crashes. W
TY CR. In all cases of prior history, it was the bounce out of the ext 4Y cycle that if left-translated, is the harbinger of doom. I expect this one to deliver big time. I have criteria for the bounce that will indicate failure, if its not obvious to all. W
Front running the elections? Everyone expected these crooks to prop the market into the elections. This would be a prime time to bail as the incentive to prop will largely go away. Part of what we are seeing? Its not about fundies or TA; its about Boole sheet. W
http://micheleroohani.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/stein-halloween-cartoon-michele-roohani.jpg
ReplyDeleteYou are seeing the markets finally roll over into extended 4Y cycle low. It will be highly right-translated and probably last 3 - 6 months. Think we are at month 67, so the entire low to low ext 4Y cycle will be a record by a mile, 70 or 72 mos. The next longest 4Y cycle was 60 months, twice, and both were followed by crashes. W
ReplyDeletethanks ,,,I passed it on for the edification of the intelligentsia at Danerics :-)
DeleteTY CR. In all cases of prior history, it was the bounce out of the ext 4Y cycle that if left-translated, is the harbinger of doom. I expect this one to deliver big time. I have criteria for the bounce that will indicate failure, if its not obvious to all. W
ReplyDeleteFront running the elections? Everyone expected these crooks to prop the market into the elections. This would be a prime time to bail as the incentive to prop will largely go away. Part of what we are seeing? Its not about fundies or TA; its about Boole sheet. W
ReplyDeleteDow -333 a second time. he he he Buy-the-dippers hair on fire. ;)
ReplyDeleteKnee-slapper of the day... Hopefully that impulse will perturb the derivatives market enough to get some domino collisions. hehe
ReplyDeletehttp://scharts.co/1yDZevA
Interesting Maps and Pictograms. W
ReplyDeletehttp://www.vox.com/2014/9/23/6829399/23-maps-and-charts-that-will-surprise-you