"Preparing for the coming busts is not scaremongering; it is common sense when looking back over the largest financial experiment in history since 2008.
There are ways to grow one's money in the period ahead. But it requires changes and doing things differently for the bust than were done in the last 4 years of the boom. It also requires admitting that for most, it was just easier not to think, and leave the planning and artificial levitation schemes to central bankers, than to think for yourself and admit that the plan was not sustainable from the start.
There are also changes that will come, that are much larger than merely the investment markets. Phillipp Bagus book, The Tragedy of the Euro, published in 2010 by the Mises Institute, reminds us of how far we have come down the road of "central planning". Clearly, it encompasses far more than investing.
"The institutional setup for the European Monetary Union has been and economic disaster. The Euro is a political project; political interest have brought the European currency forward...economic arguments launched to disguise the true agenda behind the Euro have failed to convince the general population of its advantages.
The logic for interventions propelled the Eurosystem toward a political unification under a central state in Brussels. As national states are abolished, the market place of Europe becomes a new soviet union." [p129]
I have thought about Bagus comments often in the last few years. How did we ever become fooled into thinking that with enough debt and central planning, we were heading back to "normal"? What has taken place since 2008, is that our world and markets have become more and more concentrated into fewer and fewer hands. For those who make no plans or changes for the bust phase, they will only feed that concentration of power, as we look to central bankers for more "bailouts".....which this time, they have told us already, are not coming."