Monday, 31 May 2010
1,2 i,ii count
On the Dax post I showed a chart with a possible 1,2 i,ii Elliott wave count.This can also be applied to other indexes like the S&P ,though with the markets closed today the 13th trading day will come in 1 day later.Fib counts do not have to be exact and a valid turn could come on 12 or 14 days.The count implies a iii of 3 down,which would be a sharp fall as 3rd waves are the most dynamic,so a 3rd wave of 2 degrees would be particularly strong.This is not a forecast but is something to consider if the market turns on this timeframe.
Saturday, 29 May 2010
Friday, 28 May 2010
Wednesday, 26 May 2010
DAX
Tuesday, 25 May 2010
Sunday, 23 May 2010
TZA (geared short etf on Russell2000)
Faz -(short-term?) reversal
ftse250 Triangle update
Saturday, 22 May 2010
S&P possible time cycles
T?his is a possible but purely speculative time cycle roadmap.A 3 month cycle is a "normal" cycle in Gann analysis,being 1/4 of a year.Such a scenario would also give us a nice 1 year low to low cycle.The arrows are pointing to time targets not price targets.The price range for the cycle is 350,implying we might bottom in 350 days rather than 360,or that price could bottom 10 points below the July 09 low,making it a 360 point range.
Thursday, 20 May 2010
Wednesday, 19 May 2010
Lumber
Tuesday, 18 May 2010
Another look at the FTSE
Sunday, 16 May 2010
Saturday, 15 May 2010
s&p with 200 week mvg ave
Ftse leading the way ?
The Ftse seems to have been a good lead indicator for some other matkets (although some European markets have been even weaker).The moving average trio refers to the 10,20 and 50 day ema's.Ron Walker(thechartpatterntrader.com) uses these to generate must buy and must sell signals on crosses.You will never miss a major move with this strategy but you will be whipsawed in rangebound markets.I suspect we may bounce from the 5200 support area and trade sideways before the next leg down.Mining stocks and capital gains tax fears are 2 negatives for FTSE.
Euro
Break of 3 fanlines,and 21ema crossed below 34 ema (see post of 12/05) strongly suggest the trend has changed.We now have a lower high on the charts,Gann's "safest place to sell".Definitely a time for caution and capital preservation given the state of the long-term charts and the disturbing parallels with the 1930s (Creditanstalt/Sovereign debt parallel)
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