This is intended to be a forum for me to post chart ideas and hopefully receive feedback and stimulate discussion.It is not intended to constitute investment advice.
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It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning. Henry Ford
Those who surrender freedom for security will not have, nor do they deserve, either one. Benjamin Franklin
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The idea that you know what is true is dangerous, for it keeps you imprisoned in the mind. It is when you do not know, that you are free to investigate. ~ Nisargadatta Maharaj
More evidence GSC {III} ended in 2000 - Adam Hamilton - In today’s dollars, the last S&P 500 secular bull crested well above 2125 in March 2000. The best level weve seen in the Fed’s QE3 levitation is 2075, still well under that peak a whopping 14.7 years later. So the secular-bear sideways grind is very real. And while 14.7 years is a long time, it is considerably less than the full secular-bear duration of 17 years completing Long Valuation Waves. The secular bear still lives! W
While interesting, AH above has the secular Bear wrong. By my estimates we are looking at 66 years at the GSC {IV}wave level. We are 15 years into it. 17 Y must be several lower degrees. Doh! W
More evidence GSC {III} ended in 2000 - Adam Hamilton -
ReplyDeleteIn today’s dollars, the last S&P 500 secular bull crested well above 2125 in March 2000. The best level weve seen in the Fed’s QE3 levitation is 2075, still well under that peak a whopping 14.7 years later. So the secular-bear sideways grind is very real. And while 14.7 years is a long time, it is considerably less than the full secular-bear duration of 17 years completing Long Valuation Waves. The secular bear still lives!
W
Dont tell Wags ! lol
DeleteWhile interesting, AH above has the secular Bear wrong. By my estimates we are looking at 66 years at the GSC {IV}wave level. We are 15 years into it. 17 Y must be several lower degrees. Doh! W
DeleteSafari guide: http://www.johnstons.org/roy/comics/farside/fs42.gif
ReplyDelete