This is intended to be a forum for me to post chart ideas and hopefully receive feedback and stimulate discussion.It is not intended to constitute investment advice.
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It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning. Henry Ford
Those who surrender freedom for security will not have, nor do they deserve, either one. Benjamin Franklin
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The idea that you know what is true is dangerous, for it keeps you imprisoned in the mind. It is when you do not know, that you are free to investigate. ~ Nisargadatta Maharaj
Tuesday, 31 July 2012
DT. Wedge bust. LH on the hourly swing chart. Hourly DMI sell signal (not shown)
Last week was a bullish engulfing candle but the rally looks corrective to me,with multiple "kisses" of the broken trendline
This article is as interesting for the comments as for the article itself. Jim O'Neill works for Goldman Sachs so how objective is he,as reasonable as his argument sounds,in proposing Germany takes on more debt to solve a problem of too much debt ? Bring on Nigel Farage !
I re-labelled the "3 drives" pattern so that point 2 is now a point 1.Seems clear to me that Friday was either a kickoff move or an exhaustion so 2 closes above the Friday's high or below Friday's low should be a good signal
some are calling a top in bonds and we got a nice bearish engulfing candle on the weekly.However this could be just a pullback to the strongly rising 50 dma and I wouldn't rush to call top on this yet.If it is a top it was 4 months off the low in March but 6 months would give a top in September.At least wait for a clean break of he 50 dma to be on the safe side
well right after I posted the hourly chart by Ron the market spiked higher and took out a lot of stops ! Am a bit dismayed that we took out the high on our Gann cycle date on July 5th.
Sqwii has been nailing this market recently and I think his post is well worth a look .I am thinking along the same lines.We declined 44 td on the first leg and Friday was 82 so worth keeping an eye on the 89-90 td count from the high
OK so we tested the high from our cycle day and broke back below the 1x1.Key level seems to have been 137.25. This is 5/8 line in the final eigth of the square (126-144)
Equilibrium is normally 3/8 to 5/8 lines (or for fibonacci types a market likes to find equilibrium between 38.2% and 61.8% retracements) .So,taking 126 to 144 which is 7/8 to 8/8 of 144 we can say that a break out of the 132.75 and 137.25 levels should be the key to the next trend move.
Who knows whether AAPL beats estimates or not tonight,I wouldn't like to gamble either way but the chart looks vulnerable here.I put some Murrey math levels on and 625 looks pretty key.Broke the 13 dma,macd crossover to bearish
Nov low to July high 8 months (Gann 240)
April high to July high 3 months (Gann 90)
here is same chart with a shorter ema and with macd histos showing triple divergence.
I posted on beans at the weekend showing channel resistance,Gann % resistance and a 7 day,7 week,7 month cycle cluster.We got a bearish engulfing candle today which suggests more downside.This is a weather market so very dangerous but anyone who shorted today can use the high as a stop level
Monday, 23 July 2012
clear breakdown.Speedline (arrows) suggests 5000-5100 is possible ?
Today's candle did a lot of damage .It looks as if we have attempted to regain the neckline and failed.The 8x1 from the high should now act as resistance