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It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning. Henry Ford


Those who surrender freedom for security will not have, nor do they deserve, either one. Benjamin Franklin
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The idea that you know what is true is dangerous, for it keeps you imprisoned in the mind. It is when you do not know, that you are free to investigate. ~ Nisargadatta Maharaj


Saturday, 15 May 2010

Dax




A very strong week for the Dax.Markets rebounded on the announcement of a massive loan guarantee package in Europe and I think people also felt that German exporters would be super competitive with the euro having sunk so far.However fears about Europe and the weakness of the euro resurfaced on Friday and the market sold off so that the body of the candle was engulfed by the previous week.In other markets a clearer bearish harami was seen,but nevertheless the Dax still looks to me to have posted a significant high and downside risk looks considerable,although other charts in Europe look worse.

Friday, 14 May 2010

FAZ Gann square 1080/108 days


I have taken 1080 (3x360) as the low of the square and 2160 (6x360) as the high,so 1080 points and 108 days for time.Note how 54 (half) days caught an important inflexion point.

Japan


3 drives to a high,at fib resistance.Bearish weekly candle with harami likely forming this week

Thursday, 13 May 2010

S&P 60 minute chart



I like this chart from Ron Walker's site.The Macd indicator appears to confirm the start of a new leg down following the sharp correction from last week's selloff.

DMI



The Extreme Point Rule

The directional movement indicator is a powerful tool for spotting shifts in market momentum. A buy signal is given when the positive directional indicator ( DI) crosses above the negative directional indicator (-DI), and conversely, when negative directional indicator crosses above the positive directional indicator a sell signal is generated. When the market is trendless the DI lines crisscross back and forth, which can generate false signals.

Solely following the DI and -DI cross signals by themselves can lead to whipsaws and overtrading. Steven Achelis offers a solution to this problem using the ?extreme point rule? in his marvelous book, Technical Analysis From A To Z. Achelis points to the creator of the directional movement system J. Welles Wilder, and his simple trading rule, to help prevent whipsaws and reduce the number of signals that a trader acts upon.


The extreme point rule requires a trader to mark the extreme price point the day in which the DI and -DI cross. According to Achelis, the extreme point is highest of point of a session when DI crosses above -DI and is the lowest point of the session when -DI crosses above DI. Buy or sell signals are triggered when prices move beyond the extreme point.

This explanation of the Directional Movement Indicator sell signal is from Ron Walkers chart list http://thechartpatterntrader.com/

Dax - powerful bounce off 200 dma

China


Chinese market still looks dangerous.This is JPMorgan Chinese investment trust .Mining stock charts also look poor and have retraced less far than Index charts,which I take as a warning.